Since the beginning of its formation, Russian statehood has had features that have more or less affected its stability throughout its history both in short and long term.
The deep essence of the hybrid warfare is multidimensional purposeful political destruction, i.e. ruining of one state by another one with integrated combined use of military and non-military forces and means, but being concentrated on destroying enemy not only and not so much on the battlefield, but by undermining its vital potential from within, especially with certain external actions.
The economy of Russia is in crisis today, characterized, inter alia, by significant reduction in the share of the Russian economy in the world GDP, abrupt reduction in price indices for the exports of goods, significant decrease of the role of Russia in the global consumption of goods, record volume of capital outflows, etc.
Delivered at the international conference «Russian Statehood: Stable Instability»
Here, in Kiev, the capital of Ukraine which is fighting Russian aggression, it is quite appropriate to begin the analysis of the modern Russian regime by recalling a fundamental historical fact: prior to the Mongol invasion, our common progenitrix Kievan Rus’ was being formed and was developing as a European nation. The Mongol invasion tragically split its ethnos into two.
Raising the issue of the militarisation of the Black and Mediterranean seas by Russia, we should look first at the dynamics of the increasing presence of Russian troops in the Crimea.
If you look at the numbers, the naval ship group structure is increased by 19%, aviation – by 39%, land groups – by 42% and this will continue to increase.
First of all, I'd like to thank the organizers of the Conference for the invitation.
Speaking about crisis of the system of the international security, let me ask A few very simple "eternal" questions: 1) what is happening in the Eastern part of Europe? 2) who is guilty? 3) what should we do?
Starting with some general remarks.
The world seems to be in disorder. We see national borders and international rules challenged by force. We see turmoil in our neighborhoods.
To the east, Russia's actions in Ukraine are in breach of international law challenging the post-Cold War peace order. Russia’s actions have severely damaged trust. Russia’s actions pose a major challenge to Euro-Atlantic security.
Seventy to ninety years of the last century will go down in the history of mankind as a period of intensive attempts to finally achieve real progress in establishing peaceful cooperation between countries, limiting the arms race, introducing the basic monetary unit, attempts which achieved the creation of the post-war system of international security that began in 1945 with the signing of the UN Charter. In this context I would like to make two general observations.
On the eve of the panel we have just discussed, together with Ambassador Vaitiekunas, what the reasons are and what the consequences of the crisis that we see today should be. This discussion directly relates to the topic we discussed with you during this plenary session. When did the crisis emerge that led to this attack by the Russian Federation against Ukraine, to the annexation of the Crimea, before the so-called hybrid war in Donbas? Can we find the day of the beginning of this crisis?